Clashes have reportedly subsided at the moment following a ceasefire agreement reached on Monday, March 17.
Analysts link these conflicts to a new political reality where Bashar al-Assad’s power is fading and Hezbollah’s influence might be diminishing.
A Blurred Border
Hezbollah’s involvement in the Syrian conflict expanded its control on both sides of the border. However, the collapse of Bashar al-Assad’s regime cut off a key supply line for Hezbollah, leading to a struggle to control the area.
The 375km (233 miles) Lebanese-Syrian border remains unre demarcated, offering opportunities for smuggling.
[Rest of the border dynamics explanation…]
Clashing Narratives
Conflicts erupted on March 15 after the death of three Syrian soldiers, with differing accounts of the events. Syria blames Hezbollah, which denies any involvement. The incident involved armed groups and local tribes on the Lebanese side fearing an attack.
[Additional details and figures about the conflict start…]
New Border Dynamics
State forces’ presence threatens Hezbollah’s interests in maintaining chaos along the border. The group, affected by Israel’s military campaign and the fall of a key ally, is losing influence. This may lead to new agreements with the Lebanese army and the new Syrian authorities.
[Additional analysis about Hezbollah and the border…]
