Tensions are escalating between Ethiopia and Eritrea, two longtime adversaries, over Addis Ababa’s quest for maritime access, raising fears of conflict in the Horn of Africa. This comes despite the two nations restoring ties just seven years ago. Eritrea has been calling for its youth to enlist in the army, and Ethiopia has reportedly sent troops to the countries’ joint border areas, with analysts warning this could lead to a confrontation between the two armies.
Although Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed stated that his country seeks peaceful dialogue to achieve Red Sea access, Eritrea has adopted a more aggressive stance towards Ethiopia. The two countries have a long history of strained relations, with border disputes and a conflict in 1998 that resulted in significant casualties. Ethiopia currently relies on Djibouti for its sea trade, but Prime Minister Abiy has emphasized that his nation has a legitimate right to access the sea, which has been met with resistance from Eritrea.
The fragile peace in Ethiopia’s northern region of Tigray has also contributed to the tensions between the nations, as political disputes have led to a split in the Tigray People’s Liberation Front. This has sparked concerns about Eritrean and Ethiopian forces possibly using Tigray as a battleground. Further complications arise from Ethiopia’s strained relationships with neighboring countries like Somalia over territory and access to the Nile River.
Despite Ethiopia and Eritrea’s efforts to normalize their relationship in recent years, there is a strong reluctance to see tensions escalate into conflict. The international community, including the African Union, the European Union, and the United States, has called for a de-escalation of hostilities in the region. With high stakes and longstanding disputes, it remains to be seen whether these nations can find a peaceful solution or if their historical tensions will lead to a full-blown conflict.
Source: https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/3/25/are-ethiopia-and-eritrea-on-the-brink-of-war?traffic_source=rss
