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The fate of upcoming events is predominantly determined by Iran’s decision-making, yet no satisfactory options exist | International Affairs

As the sun rises in Jerusalem, Israelis are waking up to the news that America has joined their war with Iran. The development will surely elicit mixed feelings. Last night, there was no Iranian attack on Israel for the first time in over a week; however, the support from the US military may also provoke deep worry that the conflict has entered a critical and possibly uncontrollable phase.

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu released a video praising the US president, while Donald Trump addressed the United States urging caution against any retaliation from Iran. The next steps largely depend on Tehran. Their choice of action will determine the future in this region.

With Iran having faced relentless Israeli airstrikes over several days, and now suffering attacks on their nuclear facilities, the national sentiment is likely to be one of humiliation and anger. The government must demonstrate strength.

The question remains whether Iran will retaliate, but how?

Faced with a significant blow to its nuclear ambitions, Iran will struggle to justify this to its people, many of whom are opposed to their strict government.

Image of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei

With Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s future more precarious than ever, Iran’s responses will be closely watched. Different factions will have varied views on the best course of action, from advocating for a heavy response to calling for caution.

The remaining firepower with Iran’s allies dwindling, the options might lead to either escalation with serious consequences or a symbolic act to save face, for which there is some hope in Washington.

In any case, the situation is dire. Iran, weakened both within and out, faces global isolation. Any escalation of the conflict may lead to a fierce response from the US, while any surrender might prompt internal dissent and reputational damage.

For the Supreme Leader, the choices are bleak, with no clear path forward.

Source: https://news.sky.com/story/what-happens-next-is-largely-in-irans-control-but-there-are-no-good-choices-13386928

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Trump Implies Possible Retaliation Against Iran Following Recent US Military Action

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