<
div>The Global Annual to Decadal Climate Update predicts that the temperature on Earth will rise to 1.2°C to 1.9°C above pre-industrial levels (1850–1900) in the next five years.
Crossing Important Temperature Thresholds
The WMO estimated in 2024 that the average global temperature was 1.34°C to 1.41°C higher than pre-industrial times (1850-1900), and now predicts that between 2015 and 2034, the 20-year warming average will reach around 1.44°C above pre-industrial levels.
The report declares an 86% likelihood that global average temperatures will exceed 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels at least once in the next five years, with a 1% chance of exceeding 2°C of warming in one of those years.
There is a 70% probability that the five-year average will itself surpass the 1.5-degree threshold.
The WMO emphasizes that the Paris Agreement’s 1.5°C target pertains to long-term averages over 20 years, which means the threshold has not yet been surpassed.
However, these short-term increases serve as indicators of a rapidly intensifying climate crisis.</
Source: https://news.un.org/feed/view/en/story/2025/05/1163751
